In the famous Hindi movie ‘Darr’ there is a scene in which Shah Rukh Khan walks on the edge of a tall building with a flower in a hand and taking out a petal from it at a time and uttering in a staggered manner – “Kiran, tum meri ho (you are mine)” and “Kiran, tum meri nahin (you are not)”. Greece did the exact same thing with Euro zone but unlike in the movie scene, it ended with up with a different choice. Will it be out of Euro and does that mean a steep fall for them? Its banks are already closed for the week and all emergency funding seems to be drying up. ‘Oh Greece, You are not alone!’ So says Puerto Rico as it is unable to service its debt. (http://www.cnbc.com/id/102794421). That means what we are seeing now would be tip of iceberg and it is difficult to size what is below the water.
All major economies US, European countries, Japan and now, China are at the mercy of their central banks for their economic revival. But going by history, it seems Central Banks can avert a crisis by choosing to spread the losses over a long term but it takes its own course of time for economic cycle to turn-up.
When the rates are low, savers lose. Borrowers who can use it productively stand to gain (at the expense of savers). If you can find avenues to borrow and use it productively, be ready as a lifetime opportunity is on your way in the coming year. Otherwise get into loans with floating rates now as doing so would become difficult next year. And do your math enough before jumping in as no asset class would hold water when deflation looms.